Estimating survival rates in MERS-CoV patients 14 and 45 days after experiencing symptoms and determining the differences in survival rates by demographic data, disease characteristics and regions: a worldwide study
Identifieur interne : 000D98 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000D97; suivant : 000D99Estimating survival rates in MERS-CoV patients 14 and 45 days after experiencing symptoms and determining the differences in survival rates by demographic data, disease characteristics and regions: a worldwide study
Auteurs : Anwar E. AhmedSource :
- Epidemiology and Infection [ 0950-2688 ] ; 2017.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient (isolement et purification), Démographie, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Facteurs de risque, Femelle, Humains, Infections à coronavirus (mortalité), Infections à coronavirus (virologie), Mâle, Nourrisson, Santé mondiale, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Taux de survie.
- MESH :
- isolement et purification : Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient.
- mortalité : Infections à coronavirus.
- virologie : Infections à coronavirus.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Démographie, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Facteurs de risque, Femelle, Humains, Mâle, Nourrisson, Santé mondiale, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Taux de survie.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Child, Child, Preschool, Coronavirus Infections (mortality), Coronavirus Infections (virology), Demography, Female, Global Health, Humans, Infant, Male, Middle Aged, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (isolation & purification), Risk Factors, Survival Rate.
- MESH :
- isolation & purification : Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus.
- mortality : Coronavirus Infections.
- virology : Coronavirus Infections.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Child, Child, Preschool, Demography, Female, Global Health, Humans, Infant, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Survival Rate.
Abstract
Although Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) has a recorded 5 years of circulation in 27 countries worldwide, there is no international study to assess whether there is variation in mortality by region. Neither has there been a comprehensive study detailing how the disease characteristics of MERS-CoV influence mortality in patients presenting symptoms. This study aimed to assess how region, patient and disease characteristics influence 14- and 45-day mortality in MERS patients. The author utilised publically available data on MERS-CoV. The study included 883 MERS patients reported between 5 January 2015 and 10 March 2017. Data on patient and disease characteristics were collected. The mean age at MERS-CoV diagnosis was 54.3 years: 69.1% were male, and 86.7% of the cases were reported from Saudi Arabia. About 40% of MERS patients studied were over the age of 60. The study estimated 14- and 45-day survival rates after initial onset of symptoms: 83.67% and 65.9%, respectively. Saudi Arabian MERS patients exhibited 4.1 and 5.0 times higher 14-day (adjusted hazard risk (aHR) = 4.1; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.012–16.921) and 45-day (aHR = 5.0; 95% CI 1.856–13.581) mortality risk compared with MERS patients in the Republic of Korea or other countries. Similarly, Middle Eastern MERS patients showed 5.3 and 4.1 times higher 14-day (aHR = 5.3; 95% CI 1.070–25.902) and 45-day (aHR = 4.1; 95% CI 1.288–113.076) mortality risk compared with MERS patients in the Republic of Korea or other countries. The results demonstrated a link between mortality and geography, disease and patient factors such as regions, symptoms, source of infections, underlying medical conditions, modes of transmission, non-healthcare workers and those of older age. Educational programmes, access to healthcare and early diagnosis could be implemented as modifiable factors to reduce the higher mortality rates in MERS patients.
Url:
DOI: 10.1017/S095026881700293X
PubMed: 29271336
PubMed Central: 7113020
Affiliations:
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Although Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) has a recorded 5 years of circulation in 27 countries worldwide, there is no international study to assess whether there is variation in mortality by region. Neither has there been a comprehensive study detailing how the disease characteristics of MERS-CoV influence mortality in patients presenting symptoms. This study aimed to assess how region, patient and disease characteristics influence 14- and 45-day mortality in MERS patients. The author utilised publically available data on MERS-CoV. The study included 883 MERS patients reported between 5 January 2015 and 10 March 2017. Data on patient and disease characteristics were collected. The mean age at MERS-CoV diagnosis was 54.3 years: 69.1% were male, and 86.7% of the cases were reported from Saudi Arabia. About 40% of MERS patients studied were over the age of 60. The study estimated 14- and 45-day survival rates after initial onset of symptoms: 83.67% and 65.9%, respectively. Saudi Arabian MERS patients exhibited 4.1 and 5.0 times higher 14-day (adjusted hazard risk (aHR) = 4.1; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.012–16.921) and 45-day (aHR = 5.0; 95% CI 1.856–13.581) mortality risk compared with MERS patients in the Republic of Korea or other countries. Similarly, Middle Eastern MERS patients showed 5.3 and 4.1 times higher 14-day (aHR = 5.3; 95% CI 1.070–25.902) and 45-day (aHR = 4.1; 95% CI 1.288–113.076) mortality risk compared with MERS patients in the Republic of Korea or other countries. The results demonstrated a link between mortality and geography, disease and patient factors such as regions, symptoms, source of infections, underlying medical conditions, modes of transmission, non-healthcare workers and those of older age. Educational programmes, access to healthcare and early diagnosis could be implemented as modifiable factors to reduce the higher mortality rates in MERS patients.</p>
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